Can we predict safety culture? Safety culture analysis by agent-based organizational modelling

نویسندگان

  • Sybert H. Stroeve
  • Alexei Sharpanskykh
  • Barry Kirwan
چکیده

Safety culture is broadly recognized as important for Air Traffic Management and various studies have addressed its characterization and assessment. Nevertheless, relations between safety culture and formal and informal organizational structures and processes are yet not well understood. We aim to improve the understanding of these relations by agent-based organizational modelling and thus provide a way for structured improvement of safety culture. This paper presents the key elements, results and validation of an agent-based organizational model for a particular Air Navigation Service Provider. To achieve valid predictions of safety culture indicators by the model, we needed input data from a safety culture survey questionnaire, and on this basis a sensitivity analysis provided valid results for important organizational factors influencing the safety culture indicators and related recommendations.

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تاریخ انتشار 2009